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(and why is he saying these terrible things on this site?)

Thursday, September 19, 2002
 

More on the White Collar Recession

 

Interesting that my apolitical observations about the nature of the current recession – which is especially bad here in Washington – prompted a defensive outburst from my cohort Mr. Duffy. Duff writes “That's what makes America great. We adapt, we change, we improvise, we overcome. We don't sit around waiting for the almighty government to come rescue us. We rescue ourselves. And we know that eventually the good times will come again.”

 

Um… yes. Good times will come again. In the meantime, a lot of people are going to have it pretty bad. And these aren’t bums, welfare cheats or head cases we’re talking about either. The folks I mentioned in my post didn’t sit around waiting for anyone. They took classes at their own expense, invested in improving their skills and marketability. Those without jobs are sending out resumes constantly, and those who are hanging on are always looking over their shoulders.

 

They’re not in this fix because of any government policy. The recession isn’t Bush’s fault, it’s not Clinton’s fault, it isn’t even Greenspan’s fault. It happened because unregulated capitalism worked as advertised: boom and bust. Corporations with rotten, stupid management and greedy, irresponsible owners oversold each other on overpriced technology. They built it and nobody came. Then a few companies went beyond incompetence into outright criminality and undermined people’s confidence in the whole system.

 

In light of that, is it treason to suggest that a system that does not protect motivated, hard-working people from the possibility of economic catastrophe just might be in need of repair? Most people don’t want to live in a jungle. We willingly trade some economic liberty and commit ourselves to some economic obligations (taxes) to mitigate the dangers inherent in unregulated competition. We empower an institution called the Government to act in our collective interest. It’s called the Social Contract – it’s the basis of modern political theory.

 

Ironic, then, that the next part of Brain's  post talks about how government policy – the tax cut, in his opinion – is the answer to the current mess. Most economists would agree that it’s good and necessary for governments to run deficits during downturns in the business cycle, either by reducing taxes or increasing spending. Even Gore proposed a tax cut. The problem is that Bush’s tax cut doesn’t help the people who are hurting right now – assuming it’s having any effect whatsoever on the economy at this early date. Meanwhile, the combination of the reduced tax receipts, the war and the promise of future cuts is putting pressure on long-term interest rates, and if they go up before things get better, we will indeed have a Depression.


2:53:42 PM    Emphasize This! []

Saddam's Next Move

Iraq's unexpected acquiescence to UN inspections has the Bush warmongers frantically scrambling to up the ante, insisting that nothing short of "regime change" will be ultimately satisfactory. Diplomatically, the situation looks terrible. Even the people who would love to see Saddam out recognize that the naked overthrow of a sovereign government is outside the lines if that government is ostensibly complying with the demands made of it.

Nevertheless, in the coming weeks, the administation will hammer away at the idea that no one is safe as long as Saddam is in power. Then, just as the pot is at a boil again, watch for this shocker: Saddam will announce he is "retiring" as President of the Republic of Iraq and handing power over to a "provisional government" run by his son or a trusty henchman like Tariq Aziz. He may even call for free elections if he's in a good mood. In gratitude for his years of service, the new government will award Saddam a purely ceremonial post - perhaps something with the Orwellian title "Permanent Chairman of the Committee on National Unity." Presto! Instant regime change. Of course, like Singapore's Lee Kwan Yew, China's late Deng Xiaoping and "retired" tyrants since time immemorial, he will have stepped out of the spotlight without surrendering one iota of power or privilege.

Such a move won't really fool anyone and nothing will change for the long-suffering Iraqi people. But it will provide cover for any country that doesn't share Bush's single-minded, agenda-driven thirst for Saddam's blood - which is to say, practically all of them. Support for a military strike will evaporate, Saddam will luxuriate in one of his palaces pulling the strings behind the scenes, while the Bushies will fuss and fume like Yosemite Sam after Bugs Bunny has just detonated an exploding cigar.

Let's face it: the real reason Bush is spoling for a fight is because he and his administration of swaggering burr-heads is flat out too stupid to match wits with the likes of Saddam Hussein.


8:19:44 AM    Emphasize This! []

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